Assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin. The bacc book is now also available for free download. Climate change in the baltic sea area helcom thematic. Climate change in the baltic sea area helcom thematic assessment in 2007 this helcom thematic assessment on climate change in the baltic sea area is based on the assessment of climate change. Climate change effects on the baltic sea borderland. Analysis of climate change impacts on the ecological. Strengthening europes resilience to the impacts of climate change.
Bacc the baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic. Baltic sea climate change climate modelling ecosystems rain regional climate research ecosystem marine temperature. Bacc, the baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin, is a baltex project to assemble, integrate and assess available knowledge of past, current, and expected future climate change and its impacts on ecosystems in the baltic sea basin. Baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin.
Climate change scenarios and impacts for the baltic sea basin varam. Climate change effects on the baltic sea borderland between. Spatial characterization of the baltic sea drainage basin. These changes could have an impact on the ecological system of the baltic sea, as described in the assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin. Climate change has a strong impact on ecosystem health, particularly in marginal seas 1 such as the baltic, for example causing the spreading of anoxic areas oxygenfree areas, the socalled.
Analysis of the climate change in lithuanian coastal areas. Second assessment of climate change for the baltic sea. Projected baltic sea ecosystem changes in future climates. Climate change in the baltic sea region what do we know. Elken and others published assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin find, read and cite all the research you need on researchgate. Assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin bacc. Regional climate offices and regional assessment reports. An example for the city of parnu estonia prepared by. Analysis of climate change impacts on the ecological system. Transboundary waters in the basin of the baltic sea1 basinsubbasins total area km. Ii book second assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin to be published in 2014. It offers new and updated scientific findings in regional climate research for the baltic sea basin.
Detailed assessment of climate variability in the baltic. The expected climate change is of growing interest on the regional scale, including the baltic sea. Analysis of the climate change in lithuanian coastal areas of the baltic sea. However, simulations with global models do not sufficiently resolve the regional impact. The purpose of the first bacc assessment was to provide the scientific community with an assessment of ongoing climate variations in the baltic basin. Arctic and baltic sea ice european environment agency. Climate change assessment for the baltic sea basin. The baltic sea is an intracontinental dilution basin. Assessment of wave climate and energy resources in the baltic. The report is a result of collaboration between helcom and the baltex community. Bacc ii second baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin is the successor to bacc, which was terminated with the publication of the bacc book.
These include climate changes since the last glaciation approx. Spatial characterization of the baltic sea drainage basin and its unmonitored catchments. A multiscale assessment of human vulnerability to climate. Sea surface temperature climate data record for the north. Baltic climate climate change perceptions in the baltic sea. Based on the baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin bacc. Adaptation to climate change is a central issue for the planning and implementation of measures to reduce nutrient inputs, as well as for adjusting the level of nutrient input reductions to ensure.
Cumulative impacts on the marine environment state of. Projected baltic sea ecosystem changes in future climates h. Second assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin. Towards an integrated assessment of climate changeinduced sealevel rise in the baltic sea. Analysis of the climate change in lithuanian coastal areas of. Not to be cited without prior reference to the author ices cm 2011r. Bacc, baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin. Climate change perceptions in the baltic sea region balticclimate final report. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. Bacc, the baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin, is a baltex project to assemble, integrate and assess available knowledge of past, current, and expected future climate. The new compilation bacc ii, second assessment of climate change for the baltic sea.
Assessment of wave climate and energy resources in the. The extent and volume of arctic sea ice is declining rapidly. The index is based on currently best available regional data, but spatial gaps occur in some underlying datasets, as identified in the smaller map in the downloadable file below ececosystem components layers, hahuman activities. Projections of future anthropogenic climate change. Over the period 19792019, the arctic has lost, on average, 82 000 km 2 per year by the end of summer and 42 000 km 2 of sea ice per year in.
In the assessment of wave energy resources along the lithuanian coast of the baltic sea, energy flux was estimated as follows saulnier et al. Questionnaire results regional conditions, problems and potentials due to climate change focuses on climate change. New assessment report on climate change in the baltic sea 20. Climate change in the baltic sea area helcom thematic assessment in 2007 this helcom thematic assessment on climate change in the baltic sea area is based on the assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin project the bacc project. Bacc baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea. Towards an integrated assessment of climate change. Pdf climate change during the holocene past 12,000 years. Mimicking the ipcc, an outstanding example of a regional assessment is the baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin bacc. Baltic earth, the research network for the baltic sea catchment basin reckermann et al. Curonian lagoon drainage basin modelling and assessment.
Climate related change in terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems. Impact of climate change on the baltic sea ecosystem over. The research object is the baltic sea nearshore at the lithuanian coastline. The klaipeda seaport, located at a navigable strait, is the northernmost icefree port on the eastern coast of the baltic sea. Pdf assessment of climate change for the baltic sea. Following earlier regional assessment studies, such as the assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin and the north sea region climate change assessment, knowledge acquired from available.
Climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies already. Questionnaire results regional conditions, problems and potentials due to climate change focuses on climate change perceptions in the baltic sea region. These changes could have an impact on the ecological system of the baltic sea, as. In the present study, a coupled groundwatersurface water model is forced by dynamically downscaled results from a general circulation model. Adaptation to climate change is a central issue for the planning and implementation of measures to reduce nutrient inputs, as well as for adjusting the level of nutrient input reductions to ensure protection of the baltic sea marine environment in a changing climate. The baltic sea is a relatively shallow sea in northeastern europe, surrounded by the scandinavian peninsula, the mainland of central and east europe and the danish islands. Baltic sea and some of their transboundary tributaries. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin regional climate studies. Bacc, the baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin is an endeavor of baltex now. Arctic summer sea ice in each of the last years 20072019 was lower than in any previous year 19792006. The effects on water quantity and quality of a relatively. Assessment of uncertainties in scenario simulations of. The baltic sea regions climate is presented in a new book smhi.
Transboundary waters in the basin of the baltic sea1 basinsubbasins. Valentina sagris laura petrov carlo lavalle ecdgjoint research centre institute for environment and sustainabilityland management unit ispra, italy. The hydrology of coastal catchments is influenced by both sea level and climate. Curonian lagoon drainage basin modelling and assessment of. A 30yr climate data record cdr of sea surface temperature sst has been produced with daily gapfree analysis fields for the north sea and the baltic sea region from 1982 to 2012 by. Table 2 climate change projections for the aral sea basin by the middle of the twenty. Pdf climate change assessment for the baltic sea basin. Detailed assessment of climate variability in the baltic sea. State of the baltic sea second helcom holistic assessment. Climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies. According to a 2015 study into the effect of climate change on the baltic sea basin, the changes in temperature and precipitation patterns are likely to change the southwestern baltic forestss flora. Hence, a comprehensive assessment of the impact of climate change on coastal catchments is a challenging. Pdf assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin.
Dec 14, 2011 the hydrology of coastal catchments is influenced by both sea level and climate. New assessment report on climate change in the baltic sea. An ipcclike assessment report for past, ongoing and possible future climate change and the impact of terrestrial and marine ecosystems in the baltic sea basin has been assembled by about 80. Over the period 19792019, the arctic has lost, on average, 82 000 km 2 per year by the end of summer and 42 000 km 2 of sea ice per year in winter. Impact of climate change on the baltic sea ecosystem over the. It integrates available knowledge of historical, current, and expected future climate change. The ecosystem on land and in the sea has started the adaptation to higher temperatures, and the change will continue. Towards an integrated assessment of climate change induced. Bacc the baltex assessment of climate change for the. Arctic winter sea ice in 2018 and 2017 were the lowest on record.
This is the first systematic scientific effort to assess climate change in the baltic sea region. Baltic climate climate change perceptions in the baltic. Second assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin, springer. It also includes lakes located within the basin of the baltic sea. The bacc ii author tea published by springer international publishing isbn.
Bacc, the baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin is. The flagship publication series of helcom is the baltic sea environment proceedings bsep, running since the year 1980 after the first helsinki convention was ratified. Introduction and summary climate change during the holocene past 12,000 years the historical time frame past years. New book 7 years after bacc i, following its format. Baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin 20092014. Second assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin author. Assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin it seems that youre in usa. Second assessment of climate change for the baltic sea region bacc ii. Strengthening europes resilience to the impacts of. Consequently, dynamic downscaling methods are being used to convert the results obtained in global models to the regional scale. Sea region, the bacc team was installed in 2005 to prepare a regional climate change assessment for the baltic sea region. Climate change research is necessary on global, regional, and local scales. Bacc ii baltic earth assessment of climate change for the baltic. Baltic sea climate change climate modelling ecosystems rain regional.
Assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin regional climate studies kindle edition by bacc author team. An ipcclike assessment report for past, ongoing and possible future climate change and the impact of terrestrial and marine ecosystems in the baltic sea basin has been assembled by about. Hence, a comprehensive assessment of the impact of climate change on coastal catchments is a challenging task. The baltic sea regions climate is presented in a new book.
In assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin. This book is an update of the first bacc assessment, published in 2008. It shows general results from surveys implemented in 2009 and 2011, reflections and conclusions. Climate change has a strong impact on ecosystem health, particularly in marginal seas 1 such as the baltic, for example causing the spreading of anoxic areas oxygenfree areas, the socalled dead. In the present study we provide a detailed analysis of climate variability and.
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